Week 11 – Down to the Wire

Posted by :Michael On : November 14, 2013

One more person (Mahon) has been officially eliminated* from post season play. The defending Champ is done and there is no longer a threat of the first three time Champ or first B2B Champ. It was a good run, but in the end Manning was just not enough to get him to the next level. It really is a shame to see him go already, especially with the 4th most points in the league and over 100 more points against than the next guy. 102 to be exact. Some times fantasy can be a real SOB.

*This is true because one team must make it from the Drugs division. 3 teams have 6 or more wins in the House division (Taking 2 Wildcard spots). Even if Air wins out and BB and RB lose out. BB has the tie, which will result in a better win %, thus getting the nod.

The odds have updated with an interesting shake up.

The reigning first place team has finally took a back seat… Bambi has led the way since week 6. Dill preceding him. Welcome to the top Stuey.

Moving along…

Deadline Dates
Pick Up Report
Season Power Ranks
Pat’s Alternative Standings*NOT-SO-NEW*
Mahon Consistency Ranks
Weekly Power Ranks
Probability & Odds *SEMI-NEW*
Image/Video/Gif of the Week
Historical Player of the Week

Deadlines

~~Money Due: Monday October 14, 2013 (End of Week 6) PASSED~~
~~Trade Deadline: Wednesday November 6, 2013 (Noon) PASSED~~

Playoffs: Week 13, 14, 15&16

Year End Party: During the NFL Playoffs

Pick Up Report

As of 10:55AM Thursday November 14, 2013
Revis And Butthead – 16 – (+100)
Lawrenceville United – 13 (+70)
BLACK BALSAGNA – 11 (+60)
Less Than Zero – 11 (+50)
Keystone St. Of Mind – 11 (+50)
Suck My Ditka – 9 (+40)
|\/|cNAlR’S Mayhem – 8 (+20)
MSIDE’s Year – 7 (+10)
Stuart Scott’s Eye – 7 (+10)
Monday Nightshift – 6
Krack – 6
Foster Kids – 5

That leaves us with 410 for the moment. Finished +400 last year.

PARTY INFO
So, by vote we have decided to go with an NFL Playoffs party Post-Fantasy Season.

~~Week of December 14th – Friday, Saturday, or Sunday.~~
Sometime after Christmas – During the NFL Playoffs

Vote Results (so far)
~~Week 15: ii (2)~~
NFL Playoffs: iiiii (5)
Either: iiiii (5)

Playoff Options:
I think it’s safe to say that most people want to watch some playoff games and do not want to do it on a Sunday. So here are our options for the Party when there are NFL games on the Saturday.

Saturday January 4th, 2014
Saturday January 11th, 2014

I will cast a vote this weekend and post the results in next weeks update.

Season Rankings

About: Made up of the fantasysp team rating, fantasysp starter ranking, Points scored the previous three weeks, the current weeks projected point total, and Staudt’s own ranking.

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Pat’s Alternate Standings

About: This ranking takes into account whether you had a top 6 finish that week, and gives you a point if you did so. It also gives a team an extra 2 points if the team is in the top 6 in points at the end of the year. Wins are worth 2 points, ties are worth 1, and losses are worth 0 (sorry Krack). I think it get’s skewed a little bit when you add in the total points for, but I feel that in a true points system, that aspect should be counted.

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Mahon’s Consistency Rankings

About: The lower the Standard deviation, the more consistent you’re team points were week to week. These are only regular season averages and standard deviations. These ranks can be considered to be skewed because it weighs average points and consistency equally.

Weekly Rankings

About: When I put together these rankings I take an average ranking for this weeks players and match them up against the rest of the league. Each starting position is matched up against every other team. Every position is ranked. QB, RB1, RB2, WR1, WR2, FLEX, TE, D, and K.

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Probability & Odds

Playoff Probabilities & Graph

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Divisional Probabilities & Graph

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Championship Probabilities & Graph

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Magic Numbers

Suck My Ditka – 0.5
Stuart Scott’s Eye – 0.5
Lawrenceville United – 1
MSIDEs Year – 1.5 (2 for Division)
BLACK BALSAGNA – 2
Keystone St. of Mind – (1.5 for Division)

NOTES:
House Division: Division winner cannot be determined by a Magic Number since EYE and SMD have the same record and do not play again. If they finish with the same record the tiebreak will come down to Total Points for the year.

Everyone else needs wins and help.

Strength of Schedule

About:
Adjusted Win Percentage— The SOS Adjusted winning percentage is a team’s winning percentage neutralized for the strength of all its opponents. It suggests what percentage of the time this team would win against a balanced schedule.
Total SOS: Full Season
Rest SOS: Games Remiaining
For the two SOS above… the higher the number, the harder the schedule.