Week 10 – Divisional Games Are Here + Odds

Posted by :Michael On : November 7, 2013

Well boys, this is it. 3 Weeks left, all divisional games, and 11/12 people still have a chance. The intensity of the next three weeks is at an all time high. Who will get in? Who will get snubbed? Who will get the Byes? It all comes down to this. With how tight the divisions are, one loss can make or break your chances.

The trade deadline is over and their obviously needed to be at least one trade get shot down. We will “officially” vote on how to handle trades that include officially eliminated players in the coming weeks.

Other than that you obviously know that I have some new stuff for the update. So read everything, enjoy the stats, and good luck going forward.

Few Tid-Bits From Pat on the Season So Far…
Fact 1: Highest Score of the Year: Week 8 – Pat w/ 175
Fact 2: Lowest Score of the Year: Week 3 – Bambi w/ 51
Fact 3: Average Score of the Year: 117.6
Fact 4: Staudt is the only person to score at least 100 points every week this year. (My personal Favorite)

Deadline Dates
Pick Up Report
Season Power Ranks
Pat’s Alternative Standings*SEMI-NEW*
Mahon Consistency Ranks
Weekly Power Ranks
Probability & Odds *NEW*
Image/Video/Gif of the Week
Historical Player of the Week

Deadlines

~~Money Due: Monday October 14, 2013 (End of Week 6) PASSED~~

~~Trade Deadline: Wednesday November 6, 2013 (Noon) PASSED~~

Playoffs: Week 13, 14, 15&16

Year End Party: TBD

Pick Up Report

As of 12:41PM Thursday November 7, 2013
Revis And Butthead – 16 – (+100)
BLACK BALSAGNA – 11 – (+60)
Lawrenceville United – 11 (+50)
Less Than Zero – 11 (+50)
Suck My Ditka – 9 (+40)
|\/|cNAlR’S Mayhem – 8 (+20)
Keystone St. Of Mind – 8 (+20)
MSIDE’s Year – 7 (+10)
Stuart Scott’s Eye – 7 (+10)
Monday Nightshift – 6
Krack – 6
Foster Kids – 4

That leaves us with 360 for the moment. Finished +400 last year.

PARTY INFO
So, right now it’s looking like we have two options in terms of weekends.

Week of December 14th – Friday, Saturday, or Sunday.
Sometime after Christmas – During the NFL Playoffs

I honestly don’t care which one we do. If we do during a playoff game the fantasy year will be over already, but that doesn’t matter. If we do the first option, I believe it would be week 15… the first week of the Championship. Start getting together what you prefer and if you can do either.

Vote Results (so far)
Week 15: ii (2)
NFL Playoffs: iii (3)
Either: iiiii (5)

Season Rankings

About: Made up of the fantasysp team rating, fantasysp starter ranking, Points scored the previous three weeks, the current weeks projected point total, and Staudt’s own ranking.

Click to Enlarge

Pat’s Alternate Standings

About: This ranking takes into account whether you had a top 6 finish that week, and gives you a point if you did so. It also gives a team an extra 2 points if the team is in the top 6 in points at the end of the year. Wins are worth 2 points, ties are worth 1, and losses are worth 0 (sorry Krack). I think it get’s skewed a little bit when you add in the total points for, but I feel that in a true points system, that aspect should be counted.

Click to Enlarge

Mahon’s Consistency Rankings

About: The lower the Standard deviation, the more consistent you’re team points were week to week. These are only regular season averages and standard deviations. These ranks can be considered to be skewed because it weighs average points and consistency equally.

Weekly Rankings

About: When I put together these rankings I take an average ranking for this weeks players and match them up against the rest of the league. Each starting position is matched up against every other team. Every position is ranked. QB, RB1, RB2, WR1, WR2, FLEX, TE, D, and K.

Click to Enlarge

Probability & Odds

Playoff Probabilities

Divisional Probabilities

Championship Probabilities

Some Graphs

Playoffs

Division

Ship

Magic Numbers

Suck My Ditka – 1 (2.5 for Division)
Stuart Scott’s Eye – 2
Lawrenceville United – 2.5
Revis and Butthead – 3
MSIDEs Year – 3
Keystone St. of Mind 3 (2.5 for Division)

Everyone else needs wins and help.

Strength of Schedule

About:
Adjusted Win Percentage— The SOS Adjusted winning percentage is a team’s winning percentage neutralized for the strength of all its opponents. It suggests what percentage of the time this team would win against a balanced schedule.

Total SOS: Full Season
Rest SOS: Games Remiaining
For the two SOS above… the higher the number, the harder the schedule.