SFFL – 2014 – Week 2

Posted by :Michael On : September 11, 2014

Here is the Menu for this week’s update:

Intro and Team Breakdown
Deadline Dates
Pick Up Report
Rule Changes
Pat’s Alternate Standings
Roster Analysis
Coaching Analysis
Power Ranks
Weekly NFL Pic/Vid/Gif

So, I had a little extra time to do a write-up this week. That first week is always a pain in the ass, especially getting all of my formula’s and templates ready for the season. Pretty interesting first week to say the least. Instead if droning on about stuff that I have probably already said before, I am going to do a very quick break down of each team. Each breakdown will only be a few sentences on the draft, first week, biggest strength, and biggest weakness. They are complete opinion. Now, I will look at some info regarding ranks and such from other sites, but in the end, it’s all BS. So, don’t take it personally.

I guess I will start with the defending CHAMPS BALSAGNA and work my way down the final standings from 2013.

CHAMPS BALSAGNA (Formerly BLACK BALSAGNA)
Draft – Manning, S. Jackson, A. Johnson, MJD, V. Davis, R. Wayne, H. Nicks, M. Austin? Maybe they should change their name to ‘OLD-N-SAGGY BALSAGNA’ … or maybe the wily vets are really the best way to go and will get it done.
Week 1 – Caught a HUGE break this morning with the stat corrections giving them a Tie instead of a loss. 22 was an OK game for Manning, which is nice coming from the 1st rounder.
Strength – Manning
Weakness – RB

MSIDE’s Year
Draft – Personally, I think this was the best (maybe a tie) drafted team. Didn’t really reach for anyone and got some really good steals. Cruz and Ball are some question-marks, but if one of his late round guys pan out, he may not need them.
Week 1 – Highest Score of the week helps solidify my praise of the draft. Orange Julius won’t score 3 every week, but you gotta love what he does in the Red Zone.
Strength – RB
Weakness – Defense

Lawrenceville United
Draft – Really risky draft this year. Tons of Boom/Bust type guys, but many of them are PPR guys. Maybe a reach for Foles, but Kap is a nice second option. Needs the smaller, catching style RB’s to stay healthy.
Week 1 – Solid win against a solid opponent. Getting over 130 is something that can win the regular season. Benjamin was an extremely nice surprise and will be even nicer is the production stays.
Strength – TE
Weakness – Defense

Suck My Ditka
Draft – Had to call in a back-up drafter, but it seems as though things didn’t change much. Some reaches on guys that he would have reached on. Solid WR core if Bowe and Jennings can stay consistent. Gronk is a huge plus and an even bigger one is having Bennett as relief or even a flex option. Should have at least took another RB earlier in the draft to pose as a formidable option.
Week 1 – Not so great week, putting up the lowest score. Really hurting at the RB position right now. Really nice to see Gronk find the endzone and D. Jackson produce, even with Garcon opposite him. Mike Evans with 8 for his first real week of NFL football isn’t bad, but on that team who knows if his production will stay the same, drop, or go up.
Strength – TE
Weakness – RB

Mountain Men (Formerly Foster Kids)
Draft – It was kind of like these guys picked 18 players they wanted to have on a team and just took them. In whatever round they wanted to. Taking that ‘gut-feeling’ to the extreme the team came out of the gates looking really bad in the media. However, two really… really good WR. A QB that makes mistakes, but then usually makes up for them. If the big-play making RB’s get the bulk of snaps, this could be a very dangerous team.
Week 1 – Second highest total for the week, but a really tough break playing the highest. Look forward to seeing if this team can keep some consistency.
Strength – WR
Weakness – TE

The Beefalo’s (Formerly Stuart Scott’s Eye)
Draft – Pretty good draft in terms of getting a mix of reliable and risk/reward players. Stafford could turn out to be one of the best QB’s of the year and Lynch is always very solid. Not really loving the Gore pick with his age, but another ‘older’ RB in Moreno is a risky pick that could pay off.
Week 1 – On the other side of a Stat Correction, this team had a really bad break for the week. STL D was updated to have 0 sacks instead of 1, taking away the 1 point victory and giving them 2… TWO different starters with a goose-egg. Not going to win many weeks when that happens. Bench actually outscored the starters. Yikes.
Strength – WR
Weakness – TE

Cordarrelle Patterson (Formerly Less Than Zero)
Draft – This is a very dangerous team and was my initial choice as the league favorite. The team is full of play-making stud’s. There is only one true issue…. health. Murray, Harvin, and Garcon have all had injuries in the past. Cameron is facing some injury issues now and Patterson plays exactly like Harvin. If they stay healthy, this is another team that should be a tough opponent each week. Cooks with Brees throwing to him should have a really nice year, even with all of the other weapons on the team. The exact same can be said of Sanders… but in his case he may even produce more with Welker’s health and drug problems. The Bengals D is really tough and should have some nice games against division opponents. Finally, Ridley is like a little wildcard. If he does good, it’s like gravy.
Week 1 – Scary Monday night game going up against Megatron, but he was able to hold on. Patterson looked electric and Murray seems to be in great shape. Even though the Cowboys were trash, he was able to shine. Romo should bounce back in big ways, but it is scary seeing that type of game from him.
Strength – WR
Weakness – QB

Keystone St. of Mind
Draft – Earlier I mentioned MSIDE’s Year having possibly the best draft, but with a tie. This is who I have the tie with. Very strong draft with the first two Picks being AP and Bell. Somehow he still ended up with Cam and Cobb. Then, toss in three potential steals in Crabtree, Floyd, and Pitta and you have yourself a contender. I am really pissed off that he took Hopkins right before me and with guys like Jones, J. Rodgers, and Wheaton waiting to break out. He really added some nice depth late in the draft.
Week 1 – Huge blowout win AND bench numbers. Cam didn’t play but it didn’t matter. We got to see some amazing stuff from Bell…. and yeah… he has AP. With those two, it would not surprise me if he get 40+ from the two RB slots each week. That will be hard to beat. Fred Jackson had himself a nice performance on limited touches and Pitta seems to be a PPR monster. Look out, this could end up being the team to beat in a few weeks.
Strength – Everything but Defense
Weakness – Defense

|\/|cNair’s Mayhem
Draft – Looks like a really solid PPR draft with guys like Woodhead, Edelman, Hawkins, and Witten. Brees is a great add and as long as the concussion doesn’t effect his PT, Lacy should be a season long horse. We got to see the patented double early Defense draft strategy. Now, we just wait and see who he gets in a trade.
Week 1 – Really rough first week scoring under 100, but the future definitely looks brighter. I can’t imagine The Cowboys playing any worse, so Witten should see some nice targets. He does have the entire Rams backfield… but I haven’t figured out if that is a good thing or a bad thing. At least he knows he will have a starter there. Lacy should ramp up after a tough Seattle D…. which he has and were able to put up a nice 14 on what is supposed to be a high powered offense.
Strength – Defense / QB
Weakness – RB

Monday Nighshift
Draft – I like the way these owners played drafting their RB’s and WR’s, but still ending up with a potential stud in Cutler. However, I do not really see much depth at any position right now. T. Williams should be a great Flex play each week, but it will be interesting to see what happens when the bye’s start to come into play. Also, if Foster has any issues at all and Sankey is still left in the dark, they could be scrambling for RB help.
Week 1 – Really strong first week from the solid crew of starters. Close game that was back and forth all throughout Sunday. Everyone had really solid games and the 49ers D dominated. Foster and McCoy both looked really good and should see improved output as the season goes on.
Strength – WR
Weakness – Bench

Revis and Butthead
Draft – Run of the mill draft with some stud highlights in Rodgers, Calvin, and potentially Welker and Shorts. The RB position is scary for this team though. After one week of play, if I am being totally honest, I am glad they took Richardson and not me. I thought he would bounce back after having a whole off-season to work with the team. I guess we will need to play the wait and see game on that. Otherwise, Morris should be solid, but nothing spectacular. Jennings I like, but is apparently an injury risk. It looks like they have all the pieces though, they just need to put them together.
Week 1 – Calvin gave them hope with an amazing Monday Night, but it ended up being a tough break. Just by switching the defense they play, they could have won by 20. Looks like they have two solid defense, but just need to get it right each week. At least Rodgers does not have to play Seattle again. That is always nice.
Strength – WR
Weakness – RB

Krack
Draft – Overall, I would say solid draft. It’s nice starting with that first pick but it can also be a headache if you don’t get it right. I think in this case, Charles will be fine. Tough first week. Really deep at WR. RB is really a question at this point, even with Charles. The Muscle Hamster needs to stay healthy and everyone else in his RB group is really in a split carry situation, and on the short side of it.
Week 1 – Not the best start with his week 1 expectations, but picking up Gordon could be huge in the long run. Getting that first win is important and with 11 more weeks to go he is only 2 wins away from matching his win total from last year. I guess the real question is… Can Matty Ice keep production up, even if it’s not 38 points every week. He could be a huge savior.
Strength – WR
Weakness – RB

Deadlines

Entry Money Due: Monday October 6, 2014 (End of Week 5)

Trade Deadline: Wednesday November 5, 2014 (Noon)

Playoffs: Week 13 (1st), 14 (2nd), 15 & 16 (Ship)

Year End Party: TBD

Other Dates & Weeks

Week 6 – I will Introduce more Statistics like last year…

Probability & Odds
- Playoff Probability
- Divisional Probability
- Championship Probability
- Graphs
- Magic Numbers
- Strength of Schedule
- Betting Odds

Pick Up Report

Teams that have been granted 6 Free pick-ups due to paying the full amount at the draft… (LVU, KRACK, MSIDE, BUCK, FU, AIR, MNS)
As of 11:22AM Thursday, September 11, 2014
Less Than Zero – 3
Krack – 2
Keystone St. Of Mind – 2
Suck My Ditka – 1
|\/|cNAlR’S Mayhem – 1
Mountain Men – 1
CHAMPS BALSAGNA – 1
Lawrenceville United – 1
The Beefalo’s – 1
Revis And Butthead – 0
MSIDE’s Year – 0
Monday Nightshift – 0

Last year we ended with $400+

Rule Changes

The voting has begun on the 4 issues at hand. I will compile the results and give a detailed explanation in the Week 3 Update.

Rule Change from Last Year: Refer to last week’s post.

Like last year, Pat will maintain his Alternate Standings Statistics. Basically, it is a point system to determine the league Standings. You earn points 2 points for each head to head win,2 points for finishing in the top 6 points for for the year, and 1 point for having the top 6 points for each week. This system throws divisions out of the window and looks at the league as a whole. Also, it should be noted that as the year progresses the top 6 finished will be more effective since this weeks top 6 scorers are also considered the seasons top 6 scorers. He will also produce each teams standard deviation for points scored. However, this is only 1 week in.

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Roster Analysis

Refer to last week’s update for a better description of how I calculate this.

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Coaching Analysis

This will start after the first week of games is played. I will simply compare what each team’s starting lineup produced compared to what their ‘optimal’ starting lineup would have produced. I will keep track of each week and a season long tally. I also have how many position’s you started your optimal player in out of 9 and a year long tally on that. Finally, I will keep everyone’s record if all lineups are optimal. This will not take into consideration Free Agents. Only rostered players.

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Weekly Rankings

Refer to last week’s update for a better description of how I calculate this.

Also, on top of last week’s longer description. I decided to apply my method of ranking more specifically to the actual ranks. So, you can see how far behind or in front of someone you are in the rankings. Again, this gives a better overall ranking and you can start to see ‘tiers’ of teams. I threw in a column to show how far back of the leader you are (kind of like Games Back). I still have the ‘solid’ rankings.