Here we are, Week 11, and with two games left for everyone. We have 4 Teams Clinched (#LVU, BEEF, PAT, FU), 2 Teams Eliminated (MM,RB), 1 Team in hopes of a miracle (MNS) and 5 teams (TM4, CB, Buck, Air, SMD) fighting for 2 spots. Sounds about right.

Also, of the 4 teams that are clinched. Not one of them has clinched a BYE. Yes, PAT and BEEF have clinched there division, but they are still fighting it out for the second bye. Meanwhile in the House Division it will take a good bit, but FU still has a chance of taking the division. If that happens, there is also a chance the both PAT and BEEF get the #1 and #2 spots.

It will be a very tight and serious two weeks to see who gets in and has a shot at the money, while (DON’T FORGET) everyone else fights it out in the losers bracket for the first choice at draft position for 2015.

Anyways, the update is ready…

Here is the Menu for this week’s update:

• Weekly Intro
• Deadline Dates
• Pick Up Report
• Rule Changes
• Probabilities and Magic Numbers
  • Playoff Probability
  • Divisional Probability
  • Championship Probability
  • Magic Numbers
• Head 2 Head Records
• Pat’s Alternate Standings
• Roster Analysis
• Coaching Analysis
• Power Ranks
• Weekly NFL Pic/Vid/Gif

Deadlines

Entry Money Due: Monday October 13, 2014 (End of Week 6) ENDED

Trade Deadline: Wednesday November 5, 2014 (Noon) ENDED

Playoffs: Week 13 (1st), 14 (2nd), 15 & 16 (Ship)

Year End Party: TBD

Pick Up Report

Teams that have been granted 6 Free pick-ups due to paying the full amount at the draft… (LVU*, KRACK*, MSIDE*, BUCK*, FU*, AIR*, MNS)
*used free pick-up

As of 11:25AM Sunday, November 9, 2014
Lawrenceville United – 15 (90)
CHAMPS BALSAGNA – 14 (90)
MSIDE’s Year – 14 (80)
Keystone St. Of Mind – 11 (50)
Cordarrelle Patterson – 11 (50)
Krack – 10 (40)
|\/|cNAlR’S Mayhem – 9 (30)
Suck My Ditka – 7 (20)
The Beefalo’s – 6 (10)
Monday Nightshift – 5
Mountain Men – 5
Revis And Butthead – 4

Current Total (460)

Last year we ended with $400+

Rule Changes

Rule Change from Last Year: Refer to theweek one post.
Rule Change Voting from This Year: Refer to theweek 3 post.

Probabilities and Magic Numbers

For more info on this section, please refer to the week 7 update.

Playoff Probability

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Division Probability

I am taking this out since 2/3 division winners are locked. The third is the House Division and in order for FU to take over #LVU he they would need to win out, #LVU to lose out, and to outscore #LVU by 81 over the next two weeks. It can be done, but they would need to put up some really big scores.

Championship Probability

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Magic Numbers

Magic Numbers, if you are not familiar are the minimum number of Wins + Losses by the 7th Ranked Team (or first team out) that teams currently in the playoffs need to secure a spot.
Here they are going into this week.

All-Time Head 2 Head Records

Some info on this section….

For more information on this, please refer to week 9’s update.

As for updating this, it will be revisited after the regular season has ended.

Pat’s Alternate Standings

If you need to know how this works, refer to the 2014 week 2 update.

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Roster Analysis

Refer to 2014 week one update for a better description of how I calculate this.

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Coaching Analysis

Refer to 2014 week two update for a better description of how I calculate this.

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Weekly Power Rankings

Refer to week one’s update for a better description of how I calculate this.
Also, the 2014 week two update has a little extra information.

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Weekly NFL Pic / Video / Gif

Running Backs Doing Work

Lacy

Hyde

Charles

Anderson

Randle

Forsett

… And the only two here that are not Touchdowns, but are my favorite.

Bell & Lynch just trucking grown men.

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~Staudt